Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Scheifele wins 42.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Bjugstad 49.1% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 74.8%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 72.1%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 52.3%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 74.8%
74.8%
25.2%
Scheifele
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Scheifele
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Scheifele
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (878)
48.9% (280)
-2.4%
Power Play
48.3% (174)
50.0% (6)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
47.2% (36)
+2.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Scheifele is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Scheifele shoots right. Bjugstad is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Bjugstad
Home
46.2% (571)
48.4% (190)
Away
47.7% (535)
49.2% (132)
By Period
Scheifele
Bjugstad
P1
51.9%
41.7%
P2
45.6%
56.6%
P3
43.9%
48.7%
OT
27.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.7%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 14:30 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |