Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Scheifele wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.3% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 16-11 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 79.6%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 78.8%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 50.7%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Scheifele
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
16
(27 meetings)
11
16
Scheifele
Bjugstad
Last 10: Scheifele 4-6 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
9
3
Scheifele
Bjugstad
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
6
Scheifele
Bjugstad
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
7
Scheifele
Bjugstad
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (1,045)
50.7% (906)
-2.6%
Power Play
48.6% (181)
48.1% (108)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
44.4% (239)
+0.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Scheifele is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Scheifele shoots right. Bjugstad is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Bjugstad
Home
52.7% (630)
49.8% (643)
Away
43.5% (623)
48.7% (610)
By Period
Scheifele
Bjugstad
P1
50.3%
49.4%
P2
46.8%
50.5%
P3
47.5%
47.9%
OT
36.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 17:46 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 07:31 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 13:45 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 11:29 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 08:53 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 00:07 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 2 | 15:57 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 2 | 12:39 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 1 | 02:54 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 16:22 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 14:03 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 11:46 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 07:52 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 10:41 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 10:25 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 10:08 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 07:16 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |