Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.0% vs 47.8%). Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Scheifele wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.1% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 81.8%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 80.2%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 50.5%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Scheifele
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Scheifele
Bjugstad
Last 6: Scheifele 3-3 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
3
0
Scheifele
Bjugstad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Scheifele
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Scheifele
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (960)
49.4% (867)
-1.6%
Power Play
47.0% (219)
56.0% (25)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
60.7% (28)
40.7% (216)
+20.0%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Scheifele shoots right. Bjugstad is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Bjugstad
Home
50.7% (611)
46.5% (480)
Away
45.1% (596)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Scheifele
Bjugstad
P1
51.4%
48.7%
P2
47.3%
45.6%
P3
45.0%
49.1%
OT
53.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.0%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 07:39 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 02:55 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 1 | 19:09 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 19:55 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 19:54 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 10:43 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |