Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Scheifele wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 49.5% vs Bjugstad 47.9% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 55.0%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 76.8%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 56.2%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Scheifele
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Scheifele
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Scheifele
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (981)
46.7% (398)
+2.0%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
51.6% (31)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (37)
62.5% (8)
-19.3%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Scheifele is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Scheifele shoots right. Bjugstad is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Bjugstad
Home
50.0% (672)
47.3% (220)
Away
48.8% (596)
47.5% (217)
By Period
Scheifele
Bjugstad
P1
51.4%
46.1%
P2
45.1%
46.3%
P3
51.9%
50.4%
Final 5 min
49.0%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 17:28 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 17:15 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |