Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Scheifele wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 43.9% vs Bjugstad 48.1% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 55.9%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 55.2%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 52.2%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Scheifele
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Scheifele
Bjugstad
Last 6: Scheifele 3-3 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
2
Scheifele
Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
1
Scheifele
Bjugstad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (1,136)
46.2% (340)
-2.3%
Power Play
43.0% (237)
58.0% (50)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (88)
0.0% (1)
+38.6%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +38.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Scheifele is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (426).
Scheifele shoots right. Bjugstad is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Bjugstad
Home
45.3% (739)
49.4% (237)
Away
41.6% (722)
44.8% (154)
By Period
Scheifele
Bjugstad
P1
45.6%
46.4%
P2
42.6%
50.4%
P3
42.8%
45.6%
OT
26.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
39.3%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
43.5%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2017 | 3 | 02:46 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 3 | 00:28 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 2 | 06:20 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 1 | 15:05 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 1 | 12:27 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 1 | 00:48 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |