Mark Scheifele vs Ryan Carpenter
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Scheifele wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 46.8% vs Carpenter 48.5% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 76.8%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 84.9%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 64.4%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Scheifele
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
8
(19 meetings)
11
8
Scheifele
Carpenter
Last 10: Scheifele 6-4 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
6
1
Scheifele
Carpenter
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
3
4
Scheifele
Carpenter
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
2
3
Scheifele
Carpenter
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (11,832)
49.6% (2,027)
-3.3%
Power Play
50.2% (2,508)
41.5% (41)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (594)
43.9% (467)
-2.5%
On power play, Scheifele has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Scheifele shoots right. Carpenter is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (695).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Carpenter
Home
48.8% (7,499)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
44.6% (7,436)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Scheifele
Carpenter
P1
48.2%
49.6%
P2
45.5%
47.7%
P3
46.8%
48.0%
OT
42.9%
55.6%
Final 5 min
45.5%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.8%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2024 | 1 | 06:12 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 10:26 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 03:07 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 3 | 06:06 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 1 | 11:08 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 3 | 04:18 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 08:39 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 9, 2020 | 3 | 06:09 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 19, 2020 | 2 | 04:31 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 19, 2020 | 1 | 15:20 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 08:57 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 04:53 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 18:20 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 05:55 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 03:16 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 12:37 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 19:03 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 1 | 13:24 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 1 | 08:13 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |