Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 51.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 50.6% vs Carpenter 51.2% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 81.7%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 81.1%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 54.9%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Scheifele
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Scheifele
Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
0
Scheifele
Carpenter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
1
Scheifele
Carpenter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
0
Scheifele
Carpenter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (649)
53.2% (299)
-3.9%
Power Play
55.7% (183)
33.3% (3)
+22.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
46.5% (86)
+3.5%
On power play, Scheifele has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Scheifele is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Scheifele shoots right. Carpenter is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Carpenter
Home
52.3% (440)
54.6% (207)
Away
49.0% (408)
48.1% (181)
By Period
Scheifele
Carpenter
P1
52.3%
52.3%
P2
50.4%
51.5%
P3
51.4%
50.8%
Final 5 min
50.0%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.7%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 03:07 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 3 | 06:06 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 1 | 11:08 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |