Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Scheifele wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.1% vs Carpenter 52.2% (-6.0%)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 68.9%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 69.0%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 55.5%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Scheifele
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (960)
53.1% (113)
-5.3%
Power Play
47.0% (219)
100.0% (1)
-53.0%
Penalty Kill
60.7% (28)
60.0% (10)
+0.7%
On power play, Carpenter has a +53.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Scheifele shoots right. Carpenter is 61.1% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Carpenter
Home
50.7% (611)
58.5% (65)
Away
45.1% (596)
49.2% (59)
By Period
Scheifele
Carpenter
P1
51.4%
65.8%
P2
47.3%
50.0%
P3
45.0%
47.9%
Final 5 min
44.7%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.0%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
54.0%