Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.9% vs 47.6%). Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs McLeod 47.8% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 73.9%
Defensive zone
McLeod 82.4%
Neutral zone
McLeod 53.8%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Scheifele
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Scheifele
McLeod
Last 9: Scheifele 5-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
0
Scheifele
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
3
Scheifele
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
3
1
Scheifele
McLeod
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (878)
49.2% (796)
-2.7%
Power Play
48.3% (174)
44.8% (87)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
43.3% (263)
+6.7%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Scheifele is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Scheifele shoots right. McLeod is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Scheifele
McLeod
Home
46.2% (571)
49.2% (575)
Away
47.7% (535)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Scheifele
McLeod
P1
51.9%
52.8%
P2
45.6%
45.1%
P3
43.9%
45.6%
OT
27.3%
35.7%
Final 5 min
47.7%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 18:17 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 14:26 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 16:18 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 06:28 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 08:52 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 14:54 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 08:54 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 08:50 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 02:46 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |