Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on neutral-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 46.8% vs McLeod 49.6% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 30-19 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 58.0%
Defensive zone
McLeod 79.9%
Neutral zone
McLeod 62.0%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Scheifele
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
19
(49 meetings)
30
19
Scheifele
McLeod
Last 10: Scheifele 6-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
13
7
Scheifele
McLeod
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
7
9
Scheifele
McLeod
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
10
3
Scheifele
McLeod
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (12,036)
50.4% (3,345)
-4.1%
Power Play
50.2% (2,563)
51.0% (292)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (598)
44.3% (635)
-2.7%
On even strength, McLeod has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Scheifele is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (10,821).
Scheifele shoots right. McLeod is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,490).
Home / Away
Scheifele
McLeod
Home
48.9% (7,644)
50.2% (2,158)
Away
44.7% (7,554)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Scheifele
McLeod
P1
48.2%
50.8%
P2
45.6%
48.4%
P3
46.8%
50.0%
OT
42.5%
37.1%
Final 5 min
45.6%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 18:17 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 14:26 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 16:18 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 06:28 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 08:52 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 14:54 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 08:54 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 08:50 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 02:46 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 18:22 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:21 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 12:02 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:30 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:49 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:31 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:24 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 06:49 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 03:13 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 01:00 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 18:03 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |