Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.0% vs 48.2%). Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.1% vs McLeod 48.4% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 65.9%
Defensive zone
McLeod 63.0%
Neutral zone
McLeod 50.7%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Scheifele
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Scheifele
McLeod
Last 7: Scheifele 3-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
3
Scheifele
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
0
Scheifele
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (960)
49.0% (500)
-1.2%
Power Play
47.0% (219)
43.8% (48)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
60.7% (28)
44.0% (50)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Scheifele is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Scheifele shoots right. McLeod is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Home / Away
Scheifele
McLeod
Home
50.7% (611)
50.9% (291)
Away
45.1% (596)
45.6% (307)
By Period
Scheifele
McLeod
P1
51.4%
44.3%
P2
47.3%
52.4%
P3
45.0%
47.8%
OT
53.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.0%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 14:57 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 06:22 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 03:19 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 2 | 03:28 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 12:39 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 04:13 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 12:48 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |