Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 49.5% vs McLeod 52.1% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 58.2%
Defensive zone
McLeod 92.0%
Neutral zone
McLeod 72.2%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Scheifele
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
6
(19 meetings)
13
6
Scheifele
McLeod
Last 10: Scheifele 6-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
9
1
Scheifele
McLeod
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
4
Scheifele
McLeod
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
3
1
Scheifele
McLeod
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (981)
52.9% (904)
-4.2%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
57.6% (59)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (37)
49.0% (241)
-5.8%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Scheifele is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (925).
Scheifele shoots right. McLeod is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Home / Away
Scheifele
McLeod
Home
50.0% (672)
51.8% (612)
Away
48.8% (596)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Scheifele
McLeod
P1
51.4%
55.4%
P2
45.1%
50.8%
P3
51.9%
51.6%
OT
58.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 18:22 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:21 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 12:02 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:30 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:49 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:31 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:24 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 06:49 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 03:13 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 01:00 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 18:03 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 15:39 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 06:41 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 00:23 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 01:54 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 01:33 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 11:48 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 10:22 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 04:14 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |