Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Lafferty 49.7% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 52.4%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 88.0%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 68.3%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Scheifele
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Scheifele
Lafferty
Last 5: Scheifele 5-0 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
5
0
Scheifele
Lafferty
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (1,011)
51.5% (204)
-5.7%
Power Play
51.7% (232)
41.7% (12)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (46)
35.0% (20)
+12.8%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Scheifele is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (360).
Scheifele shoots right. Lafferty is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Lafferty
Home
50.4% (691)
49.2% (124)
Away
43.0% (598)
50.0% (112)
By Period
Scheifele
Lafferty
P1
46.7%
48.9%
P2
48.1%
48.1%
P3
46.3%
51.6%
OT
41.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.0%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2019 | 3 | 16:30 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 3 | 16:25 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 3 | 14:39 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 3 | 04:51 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 2 | 09:28 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |