Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Scheifele wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.1% vs Lafferty 50.9% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 75.5%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 83.4%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 50.2%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 65.5%
34.5%
65.5%
Scheifele
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Scheifele
Lafferty
Last 7: Scheifele 4-3 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
0
Scheifele
Lafferty
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Scheifele
Lafferty
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Lafferty
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (960)
52.2% (366)
-4.4%
Power Play
47.0% (219)
60.0% (15)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
60.7% (28)
46.2% (104)
+14.5%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Scheifele shoots right. Lafferty is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (122).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Lafferty
Home
50.7% (611)
53.1% (258)
Away
45.1% (596)
48.9% (227)
By Period
Scheifele
Lafferty
P1
51.4%
52.5%
P2
47.3%
49.7%
P3
45.0%
51.3%
OT
53.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.7%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.0%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 15:19 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 01:16 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 08:55 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 07:29 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 07:06 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 01:42 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 01:28 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |