Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.8% vs 47.4%). Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Scheifele wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 46.8% vs Lafferty 47.6% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 78.7%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 86.0%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 55.9%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Scheifele
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Scheifele
Lafferty
Last 10: Scheifele 6-4 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
7
1
Scheifele
Lafferty
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Scheifele
Lafferty
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Lafferty
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (12,036)
48.0% (1,413)
-1.7%
Power Play
50.2% (2,563)
45.7% (46)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (598)
43.5% (184)
-1.9%
On power play, Scheifele has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,377).
Scheifele shoots right. Lafferty is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Lafferty
Home
48.9% (7,644)
47.3% (833)
Away
44.7% (7,554)
47.5% (810)
By Period
Scheifele
Lafferty
P1
48.2%
49.4%
P2
45.6%
43.1%
P3
46.8%
49.8%
OT
42.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 11:02 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 15:19 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 01:16 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 08:55 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 07:29 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 07:06 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 01:42 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 01:28 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 00:18 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 3 | 16:30 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 3 | 16:25 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 3 | 14:39 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 3 | 04:51 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 2 | 09:28 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |