Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Scheifele wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.3% vs Lafferty 43.9% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 61.2%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 71.9%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 50.1%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Scheifele
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Scheifele
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
1
Scheifele
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (1,045)
42.6% (324)
+5.5%
Power Play
48.6% (181)
31.3% (16)
+17.3%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
43.8% (16)
+0.6%
On power play, Scheifele has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Scheifele is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Scheifele shoots right. Lafferty is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Lafferty
Home
52.7% (630)
40.9% (181)
Away
43.5% (623)
43.4% (175)
By Period
Scheifele
Lafferty
P1
50.3%
42.2%
P2
46.8%
36.4%
P3
47.5%
48.6%
Final 5 min
51.3%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 11:02 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |