Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 49.5% vs Steel 52.8% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 54.7%
Defensive zone
Steel 86.9%
Neutral zone
Steel 68.4%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Scheifele
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
2
(11 meetings)
9
2
Scheifele
Steel
Last 9: Scheifele 8-1 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
7
1
Scheifele
Steel
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
1
Scheifele
Steel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (981)
56.9% (320)
-8.2%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
71.4% (7)
-18.2%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (37)
37.0% (73)
+6.2%
On power play, Steel has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Scheifele is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (925).
Scheifele shoots right. Steel is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Steel
Home
50.0% (672)
55.9% (202)
Away
48.8% (596)
51.0% (198)
By Period
Scheifele
Steel
P1
51.4%
55.5%
P2
45.1%
55.1%
P3
51.9%
50.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 18:42 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 14:06 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 01:31 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 11:25 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 09:09 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 04:58 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 06:54 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 05:17 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 07:44 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |