Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Monahan 52.8% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 72.2%
Defensive zone
Monahan 52.7%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 57.0%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Scheifele
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Scheifele
Monahan
Last 10: Scheifele 5-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
3
4
Scheifele
Monahan
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (878)
53.2% (823)
-6.7%
Power Play
48.3% (174)
55.3% (159)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
48.4% (95)
+1.6%
On power play, Monahan has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Scheifele is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Scheifele shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Monahan
Home
46.2% (571)
54.6% (529)
Away
47.7% (535)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Scheifele
Monahan
P1
51.9%
49.0%
P2
45.6%
55.4%
P3
43.9%
53.6%
OT
27.3%
61.9%
Final 5 min
47.7%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 15:12 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:56 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:48 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 01:54 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 08:43 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 18:10 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 08:21 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 04:35 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 01:01 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |