Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 49.5% vs Monahan 52.4% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 59.2%
Defensive zone
Monahan 75.8%
Neutral zone
Monahan 71.7%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 64.5%
35.5%
64.5%
Scheifele
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Scheifele
Monahan
Last 10: Scheifele 5-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
4
1
Scheifele
Monahan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
4
Scheifele
Monahan
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
4
3
Scheifele
Monahan
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (981)
52.4% (853)
-3.7%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
58.6% (174)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (37)
46.5% (144)
-3.3%
On power play, Monahan has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Scheifele is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (925).
Scheifele shoots right. Monahan is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Monahan
Home
50.0% (672)
53.4% (624)
Away
48.8% (596)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Scheifele
Monahan
P1
51.4%
53.7%
P2
45.1%
52.4%
P3
51.9%
51.6%
OT
58.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.0%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 09:07 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 06:52 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 03:09 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 18:52 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 11:31 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 04:41 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 3 | 04:49 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 3 | 04:41 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 17:31 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 17:23 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 00:22 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 00:11 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 11:02 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 03:07 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 02:59 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |