Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.3% vs Monahan 54.5% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 67.2%
Defensive zone
Monahan 51.6%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 54.3%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Scheifele
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Scheifele
Monahan
Last 10: Scheifele 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
5
0
Scheifele
Monahan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
5
Scheifele
Monahan
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
4
Scheifele
Monahan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (1,045)
57.1% (871)
-9.0%
Power Play
48.6% (181)
53.1% (262)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
44.6% (139)
-0.2%
On even strength, Monahan has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Scheifele is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (892).
Scheifele shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Monahan
Home
52.7% (630)
55.3% (644)
Away
43.5% (623)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Scheifele
Monahan
P1
50.3%
53.9%
P2
46.8%
55.3%
P3
47.5%
54.4%
OT
36.4%
76.5%
Final 5 min
51.3%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 09:12 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 08:12 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 1 | 09:45 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 1 | 05:53 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 1 | 00:07 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 28, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 18:18 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 14:18 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 14:13 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 13:31 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 10:50 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 06:29 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 03:12 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |