Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.1% vs Monahan 53.9% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 63.3%
Defensive zone
Monahan 82.8%
Neutral zone
Monahan 77.0%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 71.1%
28.9%
71.1%
Scheifele
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Scheifele
Monahan
Last 6: Scheifele 4-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
3
0
Scheifele
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Scheifele
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (960)
54.5% (231)
-6.7%
Power Play
47.0% (219)
58.2% (67)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
60.7% (28)
52.2% (23)
+8.5%
On power play, Monahan has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Scheifele is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Scheifele shoots right. Monahan is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Monahan
Home
50.7% (611)
53.5% (144)
Away
45.1% (596)
56.5% (177)
By Period
Scheifele
Monahan
P1
51.4%
52.5%
P2
47.3%
50.9%
P3
45.0%
60.8%
OT
53.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.0%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 16:57 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 09:20 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 03:32 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 17:32 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 06:08 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |