Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 46.5% vs Gourde 52.5% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 61.0%
Defensive zone
Gourde 82.7%
Neutral zone
Gourde 73.0%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 71.8%
28.2%
71.8%
Scheifele
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Scheifele
Gourde
Last 6: Scheifele 4-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Scheifele
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
3
0
Scheifele
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (1,277)
54.7% (243)
-8.7%
Power Play
50.4% (339)
50.0% (24)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (120)
37.5% (16)
+0.0%
On even strength, Gourde has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Scheifele is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,173).
Scheifele shoots right. Gourde is 41.8% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Gourde
Home
49.0% (836)
54.1% (133)
Away
43.7% (900)
52.7% (150)
By Period
Scheifele
Gourde
P1
46.4%
54.5%
P2
46.0%
52.6%
P3
46.9%
53.0%
OT
35.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.3%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2019 | 1 | 06:05 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 03:20 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 01:04 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 2 | 02:23 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 1 | 04:34 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 1 | 01:04 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |