Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.1% vs 47.8%). Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.3% vs Gourde 48.0% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 75.0%
Defensive zone
Gourde 69.9%
Neutral zone
Gourde 50.2%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Scheifele
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Scheifele
Gourde
Last 8: Scheifele 5-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
3
1
Scheifele
Gourde
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Scheifele
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
0
Scheifele
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (1,045)
48.0% (914)
+0.1%
Power Play
48.6% (181)
54.2% (48)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
43.9% (123)
+0.5%
On power play, Gourde has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Scheifele is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (892).
Scheifele shoots right. Gourde is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Gourde
Home
52.7% (630)
50.2% (512)
Away
43.5% (623)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Scheifele
Gourde
P1
50.3%
50.0%
P2
46.8%
45.3%
P3
47.5%
48.6%
OT
36.4%
20.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 13:05 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 2 | 09:02 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 1 | 03:05 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 1 | 03:00 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 17:21 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 06:28 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |