Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 23 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 46.8% vs Gourde 48.2% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 35-26 in 61 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 59.6%
Defensive zone
Gourde 75.4%
Neutral zone
Gourde 63.4%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Scheifele
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
26
(61 meetings)
35
26
Scheifele
Gourde
Last 10: Scheifele 7-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
16
7
Scheifele
Gourde
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
8
12
Scheifele
Gourde
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
11
7
Scheifele
Gourde
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (12,036)
48.4% (4,954)
-2.1%
Power Play
50.2% (2,563)
57.4% (376)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (598)
39.9% (554)
+1.7%
On power play, Gourde has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Scheifele is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (10,821).
Scheifele shoots right. Gourde is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,937).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Gourde
Home
48.9% (7,644)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
44.7% (7,554)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Scheifele
Gourde
P1
48.2%
49.9%
P2
45.6%
47.4%
P3
46.8%
47.5%
OT
42.5%
37.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 14:35 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 13:51 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 09:19 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 06:46 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 06:39 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 02:14 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 00:55 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 16:09 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 07:05 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 04:39 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 01:04 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 19:24 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 19:09 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 15:17 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 11:22 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 07:41 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 01:08 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 18:58 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 08:01 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 03:00 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |