Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 49.6%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 49.5% vs Gourde 49.7% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 72.0%
Defensive zone
Gourde 72.5%
Neutral zone
Gourde 54.7%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Scheifele
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Scheifele
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (981)
51.2% (469)
-2.5%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
42.9% (21)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (37)
37.5% (48)
+5.7%
On power play, Scheifele has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Scheifele is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (925).
Scheifele shoots right. Gourde is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Gourde
Home
50.0% (672)
47.8% (301)
Away
48.8% (596)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Scheifele
Gourde
P1
51.4%
47.3%
P2
45.1%
53.4%
P3
51.9%
48.6%
OT
58.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 11:32 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 14:30 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |