Scouting Report
Noah Cates holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Necas wins 32.4% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Necas 40.8% vs Cates 45.8% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cates 63.3%
Defensive zone
Cates 82.7%
Neutral zone
Cates 75.8%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 79.3%
20.7%
79.3%
Necas
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Necas
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Necas
1
0
Necas
Cates
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Necas
1
0
Necas
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Necas
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
33.6% (134)
44.3% (271)
-10.7%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
77.8% (18)
-27.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
31.7% (41)
+18.3%
On power play, Cates has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Necas is 32.4% vs left-shot opponents (108).
Necas shoots right. Cates is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Necas
Cates
Home
28.2% (71)
52.0% (148)
Away
40.3% (67)
38.5% (182)
By Period
Necas
Cates
P1
33.9%
42.7%
P2
36.4%
42.9%
P3
31.6%
48.5%
Final 5 min
22.6%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
34.1%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 08:45 | Neutral | Martin Necas |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 04:59 | Defensive | Martin Necas |