Scouting Report
Noah Cates holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Necas wins 38.6% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Necas 43.0% vs Cates 45.1% (-6.8%)
Offensive zone
Necas 71.6%
Defensive zone
Cates 71.4%
Neutral zone
Cates 58.7%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Necas
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Necas
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
37.3% (118)
46.7% (912)
-9.4%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
33.9% (56)
+7.3%
On even strength, Cates has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Necas is 38.6% vs left-shot opponents (101).
Necas shoots right. Cates is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
Necas
Cates
Home
35.2% (71)
46.1% (521)
Away
40.6% (64)
43.3% (584)
By Period
Necas
Cates
P1
29.4%
48.0%
P2
45.2%
42.3%
P3
41.5%
44.3%
OT
0.0%
31.3%
Final 5 min
43.8%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
37.8%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.6%