Scouting Report
Noah Cates holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Necas on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Necas wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Necas 41.9% vs Cates 43.2% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Necas leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Necas 63.1%
Defensive zone
Cates 77.2%
Neutral zone
Cates 60.5%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Necas
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Necas
Cates
Last 10: Necas 7-3 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Necas
2
1
Necas
Cates
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Necas
1
0
Necas
Cates
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Necas
4
3
Necas
Cates
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Necas
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (797)
44.1% (2,742)
-3.4%
Power Play
40.0% (135)
43.0% (242)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
54.1% (37)
34.9% (373)
+19.2%
On penalty kill, Necas has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Necas is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (743).
Necas shoots right. Cates is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,073).
Home / Away
Necas
Cates
Home
39.2% (492)
43.8% (1,663)
Away
43.0% (477)
42.1% (1,694)
By Period
Necas
Cates
P1
39.9%
44.5%
P2
40.6%
43.5%
P3
43.3%
41.2%
OT
41.7%
29.4%
Final 5 min
42.7%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
41.1%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 08:45 | Neutral | Martin Necas |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 04:59 | Defensive | Martin Necas |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 14:41 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 16:51 | Neutral | Martin Necas |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 11:05 | Neutral | Martin Necas |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Martin Necas |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 09:34 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 03:57 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 15:04 | Neutral | Noah Cates |