Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Necas wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Necas 46.0% vs Gourde 49.7% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Necas 78.3%
Defensive zone
Necas 67.1%
Neutral zone
Necas 71.0%
Result
Martin Necas favored at 75.9%
75.9%
24.1%
Necas
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Necas
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Necas
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Necas
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Necas
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (339)
49.1% (847)
-4.6%
Power Play
47.4% (57)
79.5% (44)
-32.1%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
39.5% (81)
+8.1%
On power play, Gourde has a +32.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Necas is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Necas shoots right. Gourde is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Necas
Gourde
Home
44.8% (203)
50.1% (491)
Away
45.3% (214)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Necas
Gourde
P1
46.8%
54.7%
P2
40.0%
45.0%
P3
50.0%
49.4%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
45.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 11:15 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 11:10 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |