Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Necas wins 32.4% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Necas 40.8% vs Gourde 48.0% (-13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Necas 73.4%
Defensive zone
Necas 63.4%
Neutral zone
Necas 69.0%
Result
Martin Necas favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Necas
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Necas
Gourde
Last 7: Necas 2-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
3
Necas
Gourde
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Necas
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Necas
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
33.6% (134)
48.0% (914)
-14.4%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
54.2% (48)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
43.9% (123)
+6.1%
On even strength, Gourde has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Necas is 32.4% vs left-shot opponents (108).
Necas shoots right. Gourde is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Necas
Gourde
Home
28.2% (71)
50.2% (512)
Away
40.3% (67)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Necas
Gourde
P1
33.9%
50.0%
P2
36.4%
45.3%
P3
31.6%
48.6%
Final 5 min
22.6%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
34.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 04:41 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 04:32 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 00:32 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 18:22 | Neutral | Martin Necas |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 15:28 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 01:17 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 03:17 | Defensive | Martin Necas |