Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Necas wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Necas 41.9% vs Gourde 48.2% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Necas 87.2%
Defensive zone
Necas 70.0%
Neutral zone
Necas 78.1%
Result
Martin Necas favored at 76.9%
76.9%
23.1%
Necas
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
11
(17 meetings)
6
11
Necas
Gourde
Last 10: Necas 2-8 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Necas
Gourde
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
3
4
Necas
Gourde
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
5
Necas
Gourde
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Necas
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (797)
48.4% (4,954)
-7.7%
Power Play
40.0% (135)
57.4% (376)
-17.4%
Penalty Kill
54.1% (37)
39.9% (554)
+14.2%
On power play, Gourde has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Necas is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (743).
Necas shoots right. Gourde is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,937).
Home / Away
Necas
Gourde
Home
39.2% (492)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
43.0% (477)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Necas
Gourde
P1
39.9%
49.9%
P2
40.6%
47.4%
P3
43.3%
47.5%
OT
41.7%
37.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
41.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 16:56 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 04:41 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 04:32 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 00:32 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 18:22 | Neutral | Martin Necas |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 15:28 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 01:17 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 03:17 | Defensive | Martin Necas |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 11:15 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 11:10 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 06:12 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 05:02 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 01:17 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 3 | 03:04 | Defensive | Martin Necas |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 3 | 13:27 | Defensive | Martin Necas |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 02:56 | Offensive | Martin Necas |