Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 50.4% vs McTavish 49.0% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 60.6%
Defensive zone
Howden 67.4%
Neutral zone
Howden 51.7%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Howden
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Howden
McTavish
Last 8: Howden 6-2 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
2
0
Howden
McTavish
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Howden
McTavish
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
2
0
Howden
McTavish
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (381)
47.6% (616)
+2.8%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
57.8% (102)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
33.3% (6)
+15.0%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Howden is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (257).
Howden shoots left. McTavish is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Howden
McTavish
Home
47.7% (195)
52.2% (389)
Away
52.8% (233)
45.1% (335)
By Period
Howden
McTavish
P1
51.1%
50.0%
P2
52.6%
47.9%
P3
48.8%
49.0%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.5%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 05:37 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:25 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:23 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 16:33 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 13:25 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 03:56 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 02:09 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 16:50 | Neutral | Brett Howden |