Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 51.7%). Look for McTavish on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs McTavish 51.5% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
McTavish leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
McTavish 60.5%
Defensive zone
Coyle 66.4%
Neutral zone
McTavish 55.8%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Coyle
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Coyle
McTavish
Last 10: Coyle 2-8 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
7
Coyle
McTavish
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
McTavish
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
2
Coyle
McTavish
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
51.3% (725)
+1.7%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
55.8% (113)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
28.6% (7)
+15.0%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Coyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,181).
Coyle shoots right. McTavish is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Home / Away
Coyle
McTavish
Home
54.5% (719)
52.0% (454)
Away
48.8% (758)
51.4% (391)
By Period
Coyle
McTavish
P1
51.1%
51.3%
P2
50.0%
50.4%
P3
53.3%
53.3%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 18:24 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 18:05 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 14:24 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 10:29 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 06:00 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 02:08 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 3 | 10:20 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 2 | 17:05 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 2 | 14:13 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 2 | 11:45 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 2 | 03:41 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 1 | 00:29 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |