Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Draisaitl wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.4% vs McTavish 49.1% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 89.8%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 77.5%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 81.5%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 81.6%
81.6%
18.4%
Draisaitl
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Draisaitl
McTavish
Last 5: Draisaitl 4-1 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
McTavish
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Draisaitl
McTavish
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
0
Draisaitl
McTavish
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (835)
47.6% (615)
+8.3%
Power Play
61.8% (228)
57.8% (102)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
33.3% (6)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Draisaitl shoots left. McTavish is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
McTavish
Home
55.1% (508)
52.3% (388)
Away
58.5% (595)
45.1% (335)
By Period
Draisaitl
McTavish
P1
55.8%
50.2%
P2
55.7%
47.9%
P3
59.0%
49.0%
OT
60.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 08:45 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 00:24 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 19:20 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 15:38 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |