Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.3% vs 42.2%). McTavish wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 43.3% vs Beniers 42.9% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 64.2%
Defensive zone
McTavish 54.7%
Neutral zone
McTavish 54.5%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
McTavish
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
McTavish
Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
1
McTavish
Beniers
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
2
0
McTavish
Beniers
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (675)
42.3% (879)
+0.1%
Power Play
40.5% (42)
40.3% (72)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
44.4% (18)
+5.6%
On penalty kill, McTavish has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. McTavish is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (441).
McTavish shoots left. Beniers is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (598).
Home / Away
McTavish
Beniers
Home
41.9% (372)
43.8% (495)
Away
42.8% (353)
40.5% (474)
By Period
McTavish
Beniers
P1
47.2%
43.3%
P2
36.2%
45.6%
P3
43.6%
38.2%
OT
0.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
44.2%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
42.3%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 04:38 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 3 | 05:49 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 1 | 18:14 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |