Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 50.6% vs Beniers 47.8% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Beniers leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 62.0%
Defensive zone
Beniers 64.7%
Neutral zone
Beniers 62.0%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
McTavish
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
McTavish
Beniers
Last 10: McTavish 2-8 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
3
McTavish
Beniers
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Beniers
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
5
McTavish
Beniers
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (769)
48.3% (1,050)
+2.8%
Power Play
50.6% (178)
42.9% (105)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
43.6% (39)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, Beniers has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. McTavish is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (665).
McTavish shoots left. Beniers is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
McTavish
Beniers
Home
52.3% (461)
48.7% (630)
Away
49.2% (500)
46.5% (564)
By Period
McTavish
Beniers
P1
51.5%
49.2%
P2
54.0%
45.0%
P3
47.1%
49.3%
OT
50.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
51.1%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 08:20 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 02:39 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 13:23 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 13:17 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:14 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 14:48 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |