Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.9% vs 49.3%). Look for Beniers on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 49.0% vs Beniers 49.4% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Beniers leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
McTavish 52.3%
Defensive zone
Beniers 60.0%
Neutral zone
McTavish 55.0%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
McTavish
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
McTavish
Beniers
Last 10: McTavish 5-5 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
McTavish
Beniers
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
2
McTavish
Beniers
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
2
3
McTavish
Beniers
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (616)
48.9% (833)
-1.3%
Power Play
57.8% (102)
58.3% (36)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
50.0% (32)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Beniers has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. McTavish is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
McTavish shoots left. Beniers is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
McTavish
Beniers
Home
52.2% (389)
52.4% (460)
Away
45.1% (335)
46.0% (441)
By Period
McTavish
Beniers
P1
50.0%
48.4%
P2
47.9%
51.1%
P3
49.0%
47.8%
OT
40.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.5%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.9%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 15:21 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 12:16 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 09:20 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 09:16 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 06:16 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 06:04 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:24 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 11:19 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 03:50 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 12:06 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 01:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |