Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. McTavish wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 43.3% vs Zibanejad 49.5% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 74.1%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 80.6%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 69.3%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 71.7%
28.3%
71.7%
McTavish
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
McTavish
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (675)
50.1% (1,051)
-7.7%
Power Play
40.5% (42)
58.3% (120)
-17.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
41.9% (227)
+8.1%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. McTavish is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (284).
McTavish shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Home / Away
McTavish
Zibanejad
Home
41.9% (372)
49.0% (681)
Away
42.8% (353)
49.9% (717)
By Period
McTavish
Zibanejad
P1
47.2%
49.9%
P2
36.2%
47.6%
P3
43.6%
51.1%
OT
0.0%
48.3%
Final 5 min
44.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
42.3%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 19:07 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 08:51 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |