Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 51.5% vs Zibanejad 49.3% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 52.9%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 61.5%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 50.5%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
McTavish
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McTavish
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
McTavish
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (725)
50.9% (913)
+0.4%
Power Play
55.8% (113)
59.0% (39)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
37.5% (160)
-8.9%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. McTavish is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (265).
McTavish shoots left. Zibanejad is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Home / Away
McTavish
Zibanejad
Home
52.0% (454)
51.1% (536)
Away
51.4% (391)
47.6% (576)
By Period
McTavish
Zibanejad
P1
51.3%
50.1%
P2
50.4%
47.3%
P3
53.3%
50.7%
OT
50.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
51.7%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 10:21 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |