Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 50.6% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 59.8%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 70.8%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 56.3%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
McTavish
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
McTavish
Zibanejad
Last 8: McTavish 5-3 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
3
1
McTavish
Zibanejad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
2
McTavish
Zibanejad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (769)
52.9% (870)
-1.8%
Power Play
50.6% (178)
53.5% (43)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
46.2% (143)
-17.6%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. McTavish is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (296).
McTavish shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
McTavish
Zibanejad
Home
52.3% (461)
55.1% (501)
Away
49.2% (500)
49.2% (555)
By Period
McTavish
Zibanejad
P1
51.5%
57.5%
P2
54.0%
50.7%
P3
47.1%
47.9%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.1%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:15 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 15:12 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 12:10 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:54 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 18:30 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 14:57 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 05:53 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 11:31 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |