Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 50.6% vs Bjugstad 47.9% (+3.3%)
Offensive zone
McTavish 51.7%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 51.7%
Neutral zone
McTavish 56.0%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
McTavish
Bjugstad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (769)
46.7% (398)
+4.4%
Power Play
50.6% (178)
51.6% (31)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
62.5% (8)
-33.9%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +33.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. McTavish is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (296).
McTavish shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
McTavish
Bjugstad
Home
52.3% (461)
47.3% (220)
Away
49.2% (500)
47.5% (217)
By Period
McTavish
Bjugstad
P1
51.5%
46.1%
P2
54.0%
46.3%
P3
47.1%
50.4%
Final 5 min
51.1%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%