Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McTavish wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 43.3% vs Suzuki 47.5% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 70.0%
Defensive zone
McTavish 73.6%
Neutral zone
McTavish 73.4%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
McTavish
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
McTavish
Suzuki
Last 8: McTavish 2-6 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
3
McTavish
Suzuki
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
3
McTavish
Suzuki
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (675)
47.0% (1,066)
-4.6%
Power Play
40.5% (42)
49.5% (204)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
46.6% (131)
+3.4%
On power play, Suzuki has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. McTavish is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (284).
McTavish shoots left. Suzuki is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Home / Away
McTavish
Suzuki
Home
41.9% (372)
49.4% (686)
Away
42.8% (353)
45.3% (715)
By Period
McTavish
Suzuki
P1
47.2%
45.6%
P2
36.2%
46.9%
P3
43.6%
49.8%
OT
0.0%
38.1%
Final 5 min
44.2%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
42.3%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 13:34 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 10:20 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 2 | 01:13 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 1 | 02:57 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 18:21 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 11:47 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 03:21 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |