Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.7% vs 52.6%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 51.5% vs Suzuki 52.4% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 55.6%
Defensive zone
McTavish 59.5%
Neutral zone
McTavish 61.9%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 60.7%
60.7%
39.3%
McTavish
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
McTavish
Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
2
McTavish
Suzuki
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McTavish
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (725)
51.3% (1,096)
+0.0%
Power Play
55.8% (113)
59.9% (157)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
56.9% (58)
-28.3%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +28.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. McTavish is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (265).
McTavish shoots left. Suzuki is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (961).
Home / Away
McTavish
Suzuki
Home
52.0% (454)
54.2% (638)
Away
51.4% (391)
51.0% (673)
By Period
McTavish
Suzuki
P1
51.3%
51.5%
P2
50.4%
53.3%
P3
53.3%
52.4%
OT
50.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
55.7%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
51.7%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 04:50 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 18:27 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |