Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 51.6%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 50.6% vs Suzuki 51.5% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 57.8%
Defensive zone
McTavish 67.7%
Neutral zone
McTavish 56.0%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
McTavish
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
McTavish
Suzuki
Last 5: McTavish 2-3 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Suzuki
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
2
McTavish
Suzuki
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McTavish
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (769)
52.4% (981)
-1.3%
Power Play
50.6% (178)
50.7% (304)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
36.4% (33)
-7.8%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. McTavish is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (296).
McTavish shoots left. Suzuki is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
McTavish
Suzuki
Home
52.3% (461)
53.2% (645)
Away
49.2% (500)
50.1% (673)
By Period
McTavish
Suzuki
P1
51.5%
48.9%
P2
54.0%
51.5%
P3
47.1%
54.9%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 10:31 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 06:13 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 3 | 12:16 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |