Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 51.5% vs Roy 47.2% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 73.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 68.0%
Neutral zone
McTavish 66.3%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
McTavish
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McTavish
Roy
Last 5: McTavish 3-2 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
McTavish
Roy
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (725)
47.5% (617)
+3.8%
Power Play
55.8% (113)
39.6% (53)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
46.4% (97)
-17.8%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. McTavish is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (265).
McTavish shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
McTavish
Roy
Home
52.0% (454)
47.2% (398)
Away
51.4% (391)
46.3% (369)
By Period
McTavish
Roy
P1
51.3%
48.6%
P2
50.4%
48.8%
P3
53.3%
43.9%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
48.0%▼
51.5%
51.7%
Roy
54.0%▲
52.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 16:57 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 16:49 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 11:16 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 11:04 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 14:12 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |