Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 49.0% vs Roy 51.9% (-3.3%)
Offensive zone
McTavish 73.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 78.3%
Neutral zone
McTavish 52.5%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
McTavish
Roy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (616)
51.9% (547)
-4.3%
Power Play
57.8% (102)
54.1% (37)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
53.3% (92)
-20.0%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. McTavish is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (256).
McTavish shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
McTavish
Roy
Home
52.2% (389)
54.0% (328)
Away
45.1% (335)
50.6% (348)
By Period
McTavish
Roy
P1
50.0%
53.5%
P2
47.9%
51.6%
P3
49.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
45.5%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.9%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%