Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 50.6% vs Roy 47.9% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 77.4%
Defensive zone
McTavish 51.0%
Neutral zone
McTavish 67.0%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
McTavish
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
McTavish
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (769)
48.6% (679)
+2.5%
Power Play
50.6% (178)
48.0% (50)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
34.7% (49)
-6.1%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. McTavish is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (296).
McTavish shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
McTavish
Roy
Home
52.3% (461)
49.3% (345)
Away
49.2% (500)
46.4% (433)
By Period
McTavish
Roy
P1
51.5%
47.6%
P2
54.0%
47.1%
P3
47.1%
47.9%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2024 | 2 | 08:20 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 1 | 09:34 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |