Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 51.5% vs Acciari 53.9% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 82.6%
Defensive zone
Acciari 89.2%
Neutral zone
McTavish 58.7%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
McTavish
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McTavish
Acciari
Last 5: McTavish 3-2 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
2
0
McTavish
Acciari
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
2
McTavish
Acciari
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (725)
55.6% (426)
-4.3%
Power Play
55.8% (113)
0.0% (2)
+55.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
52.1% (146)
-23.5%
On power play, McTavish has a +55.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. McTavish is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (265).
McTavish shoots left. Acciari is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (444).
Home / Away
McTavish
Acciari
Home
52.0% (454)
55.2% (306)
Away
51.4% (391)
53.7% (268)
By Period
McTavish
Acciari
P1
51.3%
55.5%
P2
50.4%
54.3%
P3
53.3%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.7%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
51.7%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 16:13 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 03:52 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 16:20 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 15:20 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 11:20 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |