Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 49.0% vs Acciari 51.2% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 88.9%
Defensive zone
Acciari 74.5%
Neutral zone
McTavish 56.2%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
McTavish
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
McTavish
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
3
McTavish
Acciari
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
McTavish
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (616)
53.0% (285)
-5.4%
Power Play
57.8% (102)
31.3% (16)
+26.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
50.8% (183)
-17.5%
On power play, McTavish has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. McTavish is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (256).
McTavish shoots left. Acciari is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (377).
Home / Away
McTavish
Acciari
Home
52.2% (389)
53.2% (267)
Away
45.1% (335)
49.3% (217)
By Period
McTavish
Acciari
P1
50.0%
53.1%
P2
47.9%
51.1%
P3
49.0%
50.6%
OT
40.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.9%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:53 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 10:01 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 09:49 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |