Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 50.6% vs Acciari 53.2% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 86.7%
Defensive zone
Acciari 80.8%
Neutral zone
McTavish 50.9%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
McTavish
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
McTavish
Acciari
Last 6: McTavish 3-3 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
2
0
McTavish
Acciari
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
2
McTavish
Acciari
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McTavish
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (769)
56.7% (393)
-5.6%
Power Play
50.6% (178)
33.3% (3)
+17.3%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
48.0% (202)
-19.4%
On penalty kill, Acciari has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. McTavish is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (296).
McTavish shoots left. Acciari is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
McTavish
Acciari
Home
52.3% (461)
54.5% (279)
Away
49.2% (500)
53.0% (319)
By Period
McTavish
Acciari
P1
51.5%
56.9%
P2
54.0%
51.4%
P3
47.1%
53.2%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 18:38 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 13:28 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 12:57 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 14:27 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |